While insisting that the Taliban will face consequences, a State Department spokesperson on Thursday downplayed claims of differences between West and Amiri. In the latest deliberations, “Tom and Rina have been of a similar mind” and “in the same camp advocating for similar accountability mechanisms.” The spokesperson, however, would not describe the mechanisms being discussed or how far each official wanted to go.
Nearly 18 months after the US military left and the Taliban took charge, Afghanistan’s deepening misery is a growing blight on President Joe Biden’s human rights record. It’s a topic that Republicans, who are taking control of the House, are likely to hammer as they launch investigations into the administration’s handling of Afghanistan.
But while Biden has long said that human rights are central to his foreign policy, he has defended his decision to pull US troops from Afghanistan after a 20-year war effort. In the past, Biden has said that the US does not bear responsibility for the fate of Afghan women and girls. He has largely avoided talking about the country in recent months, fueling a sense of helplessness among administration staff grappling with how to respond to the growing crisis.
“We knew this was coming but we dreaded it and couldn’t stop it,” said the current official, who, like the State Department spokesperson and others, requested anonymity to describe sensitive internal administration conversations.
White House National Security Council spokesperson Adrienne Watson dismissed the idea that Biden was disengaged on the topic. She pointed to his mention of the repression of Afghan women and girls during his speech last September to the United Nations General Assembly.
“As soon as the Taliban announced additional restrictive measures, the president directed his team to quickly assess the implications for our assistance programs and coordinate with partners to make it clear to the Taliban that they will only be further isolated from the world and not get the legitimacy they seek,” Watson added.
The Taliban leadership’s latest edicts, issued last month, bar women from universities and from working for many NGOs — leading several humanitarian groups to suspend operations in Afghanistan, where millions face starvation and other insecurity.
Months ago, the militant group’s top leaders barred girls from secondary schools, and they also issued other decrees that banned women and girls from certain public spaces and jobs. There are fears that they will eventually take girls from primary school.
The current administration official said there are interagency meetings scheduled this week to discuss a US response, but a decision may not come until next week.
“We are working with our partners throughout the government and also with like-minded partners around the world to devise an appropriate set of consequences that register our condemnation for this outrageous edict on the part of the Taliban, while also protecting our status as the world’s leading humanitarian provider for the people of Afghanistan,” the State Department’s lead spokesperson, Ned Price, told reporters during Wednesday’s press briefing.
Washington has some leverage over the Taliban, both diplomatically and economically. The Taliban have sought international recognition as a government, and they also want foreign investment. The United States has sway over billions of dollars in Afghan funds that could help stabilize the country’s economy, and American sanctions have ripple effects that deter foreign investment.
But the Taliban have leverage, too, including the freedom they give to terrorist groups that operate from Afghan soil. Former Al Qaeda chief and 9/11 attacks plotter Osama bin Laden used Afghanistan as a base. Last year, his successor, Ayman al-Zawahiri, was killed by a US drone strike in Kabul. The Islamic State terrorist group, meanwhile, is a Taliban rival and US enemy that has staged a number of attacks in Afghanistan over the past year and a half.
Cooperation on counterterrorism is just one of many factors that US officials including West and Amiri — neither of whom responded to requests for comment — have to consider as they weigh how to respond to the Taliban’s human rights abuses.
The differences between West and Amiri are not massive and are more a matter of degree – both want to hold the Taliban accountable. Their attitudes also reflect their specific jobs, the current administration official said. “It’s generally true that Tom wants to find some way to keep working with the Taliban. I think he thinks that’s his mandate from the president,” the official said. “Rina has a more human rights-principled approach – do what we should do and let the chips fall where they may.”
To make things harder, the Taliban’s top leaders are deeply conservative Islamists who appear personally immune to most US economic sanctions and travel bans; they are unlikely to have many financial assets outside Afghanistan and do not travel much. They are said to be based in the southern Afghan city of Kandahar.
If the United States decides to cut or change humanitarian aid to Afghanistan as part of its penalties, it is unlikely to be severe, the current official said.
US officials have little — if any — contact with these top Taliban figures, which include the group’s No. 1 leader or “emir,” Haibatullah Akhundzada, said former US officials in touch with the administration. Instead, US officials deal with the Taliban’s more public faces in Kabul and in third party countries such as Qatar, but those people have less power.
Even if US officials set aside diplomatic sensitivities and were willing to publicly engage with Akhundzada, the secretive Taliban leader is unlikely to agree to meet, former officials and analysts said.
Not all Taliban members support Akhundzada’s deeply conservative approach to women and girls’ rights. In fact, one prominent Taliban figure, Sirajuddin Haqqani, is believed to support educating girls and women, said a second current US official familiar with the Afghan file. The Haqqani network is among the most violent Taliban factions.
Still, the Taliban have a strong central structure, so even more progressive elements defer to the conservative leadership, the US official said. That makes it difficult for the United States to sow division in the group.
Suhail Shaheen, a Taliban official, insisted to POLITICO via a WhatsApp message that the education bans were only temporary. He referred questions about the NGO work bans to another Taliban official who could not be reached for comment.
Afghan officials are “working in full swing” to ensure a “conducive environment” for women’s education, Shaheen wrote. “No one is against women’s education per se, but they want women [to] receive education in an environment compliant with our values and rules,” he said, in a nod to strict Islamic law.
But the Taliban, which ruled Afghanistan for much of the 1990s, have previously claimed that such bans are temporary, only to keep schools closed to girls.
Lisa Curtis, who oversaw Afghanistan at the National Security Council in the Trump administration, argued that Biden aides should use sanctions as well as other tools to pressure the Taliban. The administration can, for instance, engage more publicly with Afghan opposition leaders or re-open the Afghan Embassy in Washington but under the control of non-Taliban figures, she said.
“It’s been almost 18 months. The Taliban has not changed,” she said. “At some point there have to be consequences.”
Others outside the Biden team, however, said it would be a mistake to further isolate the militant movement. In the long run, for the good of all Afghans, engagement is critical, said a former US official familiar with the issue.
“We need to own up to the fact that our policy of shrillly criticizing them every five minutes isn’t working,” the former official said.
A former US diplomat also familiar with the Afghan file argued that one approach is for the United States to lower its profile and empower institutions such as the United Nations to pressure the militant rulers.
The current strategy isn’t working, the former diplomat said, and in the meantime, “this country has so grievously erased the basic rights of half its citizens.”