Tropical Depression path, advisory & warnings

This graphic created by the National Weather Service/NCEP Weather Prediction Center (WPC) shows the projected path.  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

This graphic created by the National Weather Service/NCEP Weather Prediction Center (WPC) shows the projected path. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

Article first published: Friday, October 07, 2022, 5 am EST

Article last updated: Friday, October 07, 2022, 8 am EST

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 8 am Friday advisory, the tropical depression passed through Venezuela and then headed to Colombia. The tropical depression is 30 miles west-southwest of Northern Tip of Guajira Peninsula Colombia and, 645 miles east of Isla De Providencia Colombia, with maximum sustained wind of 35 mph. It’s moving 15 mph to the west.

“… the cyclone is expected to move over the southwestern Caribbean Sea today through Saturday. The system is forecast to pass near San Andres and Providencia Islands Saturday night, and approach the coast of Nicaragua on Sunday morning. Gradual strengthening is forecast today, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later this morning or this afternoon.” according to analysts. “A faster rate of strengthening is forecast on Saturday and Saturday night, and the system is expected to become a hurricane before it reaches San Andres and Providencia Islands and the coast of Nicaragua this weekend.”

YESTERDAY (Thursday):

The National Hurricane Center released the first advisory for a potential tropical cyclone at 11 am yesterday (Thursday). The tropical depression, previously located in the Caribbean Sea, made landfall on the coast of Venezuela. And the tropical depression found new strength and has evolved from a potential tropical cyclone into a tropical depression. The system moved with sustained winds of 35 miles per hour. A hurricane watch has been issued by forecasters for san andres, providencia, and santa catalina islands.


A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:

– San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Islands of Colombia

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

– Coast of Colombia from Riohacha eastward to the Colombia/Venezuela border

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours.

Interests along the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of the disturbance. Watches or warnings will likely be required for portions of those coasts later today.


WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible on the Colombian islands of San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Saturday night into early Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Saturday afternoon.

Tropical storm conditions are expected along the coast of Colombia within the warning area this morning. Gusts to tropical storm force are possible across portions of the northwestern coast of Venezuela during the next several hours.

RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through early Monday:

Northern Venezuela, Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao…additional 1 to 3 inches Guajira Peninsula…3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. San Andres and Providencia…6 to 12 inches Portions of Central America…5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods. There is also the potential for life-threatening mudslides across portions of Central America this weekend.

STORM SURGE: A storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds on San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Islands. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves.

SURF: Swells generated by the cyclone are affecting the ABC Islands and portions of the coasts of northwestern Venezuela and the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia. These swells are forecast to spread westward and reach Jamaica late tonight, Providencia and San Andres Islands on Saturday, and portions of the coast of Central America on Saturday night and Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Source: National Hurricane Center

This article was generated by the Miami Herald Bot, artificial intelligence software that analyzes information from the National Hurricane Center and applies it to templates created by journalists in the newsroom. We are experimenting with this and other new ways of providing more useful content to our readers and subscribers. You can report errors or bugs to Full hurricane coverage at

This story was originally published October 7, 2022 2:10 AM.


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